Closing Recap
Tuesday, June 09, 2026
|
Index |
Up/Down |
% |
Last |
|
DJ Industrials |
84.93 |
0.17% |
50,870 |
|
S&P 500 |
-19.38 |
0.26% |
7,386 |
|
Nasdaq |
-250.84 |
0.97% |
25,678 |
|
Russell 2000 |
11.57 |
0.41% |
2,866 |
Stocks finished lower on Tuesday in a volatile trading day but finished well off the lows ahead of key inflation data tomorrow morning. The Nasdaq Comp declined more than 3% at one point after opening higher and rising as much as 1% as U.S. technology stocks saw a sharp reversal off morning highs, taking the broader market with it. The Nasdaq high to low on the day was 1,275 point range (26,259 high vs 24,984 low), which follows a more than 1,000 point decline last Friday off stretched levels for the likes of AI, semis, optical, and infrastructure/data center plays that saw more weakness today. While Tech and Energy fell sharpy, the other nine S&P sectors closed higher with biggest gains in REITs, Healthcare and Materials. Attention now turns to the consumer price index (CPI) May inflation reading tomorrow morning, followed by Oracle (ORCL) earnings tomorrow night and then PPI inflation data Thursday along with the SpaceX IPO pricing Thursday night. A busy week still ahead.
Tech stocks started the ball rolling lower this morning to the downside, led first by weakness in optical stocks (AAOI, COHR, LITE, CIEN, GLW) following some industry wide comments, which then rolled into selling for semiconductors (SOX, SMH). The saw other big momentum related sectors falling as well like space and satellite names ahead of the highly anticipated SpaceX IPO on Thursday night. Energy was weaker all day as oil prices fell over -4% to 7-week lows given cooler heads in Middle East for now.
In the geopolitical arena, oil prices had been lower all morning, falling over -5% and hitting 7-week lows on all quiet between Iran and Israel the last 2 days after tensions this weekend…but a post by President Trump on Truth Social saying “Iran shot down the U.S. Apache helicopter that was patrolling the Strait of Hormuz overnight, adding that “the United States must, of necessity, respond to this attack” pare losses. Treasury yields slipped slightly along with the dollar index (DXY) awaiting the CPI data tomorrow morning. The CBOE Volatility index hit highs 23.34 before paring gains late day to +5% around 19.90 as stocks recovered off their morning lows. Lots of volatility, big swings and some wreck in tech, but the S&P 500 still only closed down -0.27% and Nasdaq -1% while the Dow and Russell 2000 both finished positive on the day.
Economic Data
- U.S. international trade in goods and services deficit narrowed to $55.9B in April from $56.6B in March (revised from $60.3B), against the consensus of -$55.8B, according to data released by the Census Bureau. U.S.-China April trade deficit $10.39B vs March deficit $9.76B. US April oil import price $78.24/bbl vs March $63.40/bbl, +18.4% from April’25 $66.06/bbl.
- Existing Home Sales for May rose +3.2% to 4.17M unit rate vs April +0.7% 4.04M (prev 4.02M); May inventory of homes for sale 1.55M units, 4.5 months’ worth and the May National median home price for existing homes $429,300, +1.3% from May 2025.
- April wholesale inventories revised to +0.6% (consensus +0.5%) from +0.5%; U.S. April wholesale sales +2.0% (consensus +2.4%); U.S. April wholesale sales +2.0% (consensus +2.4%) vs March +3.0% (prev +2.8%); U.S. April stock/sales ratio 1.19 months’ worth vs March 1.21 months.
Commodities, Currencies & Treasuries
- U.S. crude oil futures settle at $88.20/bbl, down $3.10, or 3.40% after earlier falling 5% after Iran and Israel said they had halted attacks on each other following an appeal from U.S. President Donald Trump. That put Brent on track for its lowest close since April 17 and WTI on track for its lowest close since May 29. Israel and Iran halted direct attacks on each other on Monday after an appeal by Trump for them to stop, but Tehran said it would resume hostilities if Israel continued to attack its ally, the Hezbollah militia in Lebanon. Oil prices pared losses this afternoon slightly after President Trump on Truth Social saying “Iran shot down the U.S. Apache helicopter that was patrolling the Strait of Hormuz overnight, adding that "the United States must, of necessity, respond to this attack."
- Gold and silver prices fell, tracking a broader market sell-off, pressured by rising expectations of a U.S. interest rate hike this year, while investor focus turned to key inflation data tomorrow (CPI) and Thursday (PPI). August gold prices fell -$77.00/oz, or -1.76%, to settle at $4,286.40 an ounce and July silver prices declined dropped -$3.35/oz, or -4.88%, at $65.24 an ounce. Traders are pricing in about 70% chance of a Fed rate hike in December, according to the CME FedWatch too. A “hotter” CPI reading tomorrow could raise those expectations even more. @Bluekurtic noted on X, “Gold also fell below its 200-day moving average after an incredible 660 trading days above it. That’s the 3rd-longest streak since 1970.”
|
Macro |
Up/Down |
Last |
|
WTI Crude |
-3.10 |
88.20 |
|
Brent |
-2.80 |
91.45 |
|
Gold |
-77.00 |
4,286.40 |
|
EUR/USD |
0.0014 |
1.1549 |
|
JPY/USD |
0.22 |
160.37 |
|
10-Year Note |
-0.022 |
4.53% |
Sector News Breakdown
Retail, Consumer Staples & Restaurants:
- In Retail: DBI Q1 net sales rose 1.4% Y/y and adjusted diluted EPS for Q1 was $0.07; said Q1 GM’s expanded by 240 basis points, driven by inventory and pricing improvements; reaffirms 2026 net sales guidance of down 1% to up 1% and said anticipates full-year EPS trending toward high end of guidance range. ASO Q1 revs $1.44B in-line with estimates while raised low end of full-year guidance after Q1 performance; boosts FY26 adjusted EPS view to $6.40-$6.80 from $6.10-$6.60 vs. consensus $6.29.
- Food sector: SJM posts Q4 adj EPS of $2.77, above ests of $2.64 and guides FY26 EPS $9.75-$10.25, largely above estimates of $9.79saying higher pricing, especially for coffee, along with lower debt interest, helped offset rising commodity costs; posted Q4 sales beat of $2.27B but sees Fy sales down -3%-4% vs. est. +0.7%. AVO reported Q2 adj. EPS $0.01 vs. $0.05 est. (miss by $0.04) on better revs $290.9Mm vs. $256.3Mm est.
- Consumer Staples, specifically consumer products makers like CLX, CL, EL, KMB, and PG were among the top gainers in the S&P 500 amid a rotation out of tech earlier in the day.
Autos, Leisure, Gaming & Lodging:
- Casino & Gaming: DKNG shares surged after Morgan Stanley noted DKNG disclosed May annualized predictions contract volumes of ~$3.1B, +34% sequentially. Combined April-May volumes of $451M is 86% of Morgan’s 2Q estimate & June should be even stronger with the World Cup and incremental marketing. Initial retention is said to be solid with customers resembling OSB, yet DKNG valuation still appears to embed no incremental value.
- In Lodging & Leisure: MTN shares fell after results as EPS $8.81 missed est. $8.95 while Q3 net income $314.4M vs. $389.7M y/y and Q3 adj Ebitda $586.4M, down from $647.7M y/y; reduced FY26 views to in line with the update provided in April, expecting net income of $128M-$162M and Ebitda $735M-$755M.
- RV/Towables (THO, WGO, CWH, PATK) Keybanc said U.S. retail was -16.9% Y/y (N.A. -16.2% Y/y), and based on average revision trends, KEYB sees April fully revised N.A. retail -LDD% Y/y, slightly softer than normal seasonality (+21% sequentially; +23% normal sequential). March U.S. headlines were revised +538 bps to -16.5% Y/y, with February +24 bps to -20.1% (+403 bps total).
- In Autos: STLA’s Chrysler is recalling a group of hybrid electric vehicles over concerns that their battery packs may catch fire. The National Highway Traffic Safety Association said the battery packs may catch fire even when the vehicle is parked with the ignition in the "Off" position, increasing the risk of injury; VWAV to acquire controlling stake in FRSX for $17.5M; Visionwave to issue $17.5M in shares plus up to $3M in management equity grants
Energy
- E&C & Power sector: PRIM shares tumbled following leadership changes announced last night; new Interim President for Renewables Division (follows miss and lower guide last quarter); GEV shares slid as Morgan Stanley comments out of Europe said the peak of the order Cycle is happening right now. Market starts to look over-supplied into 2030s given all the pull forwards.
- Clean Energy/Alternative Power: FCEL was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Canaccord and raised tgt to $30 from $12 citing the company’s potential opportunity over the coming years in the data center market for the upgrade. There is enough data points to suggest that a transformative data center deal is within reach for FuelCell, "long with plenty more behind that.
- Utility & Energy stocks: BP said it would reorganize into two business segments — upstream and downstream — from three, as it seeks to simplify operations. In Utes, U.S. power consumption, which hit its second straight annual record high in 2025, will rise further in 2026 and 2027, driven by AI-hungry data centers and electrification, the EIA said in its Short-Term Energy Outlook. The EIA projected power demand will rise from a record 4,195 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) in 2025 to 4,271 billion kWh in 2026 and 4,397 billion kWh in 2027.
Financials
- Insurance: AJG was upgraded to Buy at UBS given greater upside from AssuredPartners synergies and Ai-driven cost savings, which it believes are underestimated by consensus. UBS is above consensus on margins by 70bps through 2026-28E, reflecting synergies, operating leverage, and Ai productivity gains. PRU was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus noting the company’s ongoing Japan issues, citing its April announcement that it would extend the suspension of new sales in Japan by an additional 180 days while extending the prior announcement of a 90-day suspension in February.
- Asset Managers: CNS reported preliminary assets under management of $99.5B as of May 31, 2026, a decrease of $645M from assets under management of $100.1B at April 30, 2026. The decrease was due to market depreciation of $592M and distributions of $154M, partially offset by net inflows of $101M.
- Payments & Consumer Finance: PAYO shares spiked after Reuters reported this morning that Nuvei is in advanced talks to acquire the cross border payments company; SYF 30+ delinquency rate 4.2% as of May 31, 2026, and adjusted net charge-off rate 5.4% as of May 31, 2026. Reuters reported that Jana Partners wants payments company FISV to sell additional assets and appoint new directors with banking software and payments experience, the activist investor said on Tuesday.
Biotech & Pharma:
- AZN experimental obesity pill helped patients lose weight in two mid-stage clinical trials, clearing the bar to move the drug to late-stage studies; said elecoglipron, resulted in 11.8% weight loss after 36 weeks of treatment in a phase 2 study in patients who have obesity/overweight and at least one additional condition.
- IDYA 5.56M share Spot Secondary priced at $27.00
- LLY, NVO Goldman Sachs raised its forecast for the global obesity-drug market to $114B by 2030, up roughly 13% from a $101B projection in December, citing rapid adoption of oral GLP-1 obesity drugs and a shift from a niche, high-price segment to a mass-consumer market.
- MRK provide update on phase 3 keynote-d46/evoke-03 study; said study did not achieve statistical significance for progression-free or overall survival; discontinuation of phase 3 keynote-d46/evoke-03 study investigating Gilead’s Trodelvy in combination with Keytruda.
- NOVT announces acquisition of Riverpoint Medical in deal valued at $1.2B upfront plus $250M milestone payment in Q1 2027.
- NUVL shares jump after agreeing to be acquired by GSK for $10.6B. GSK is making a tender offer for Nuvalent at $124 a share in cash, a 40% premium to yesterday’s close. The biotech has two experimental lung-cancer drugs in late development, zidesamtinib and neladalkib.
- PRGO said both its chief executive and president resigned. The departures after the CEO’s personal conduct was found to violate the company code
Transports
- Industrials: CECO shares jumped after raising FY26 revenue forecast following acquisition of Thermon Group; now sees FY26 revs between $1.28B-$1.38B, up about 20% at midpoint of range vs. ests $968M noting the acquisition will generate $40M or more in cost synergies. TITN shares declined following its quarterly earnings results and guidance.
- In Homebuilders: KBW upgraded TOL to Outperform with $161 tgt and downgraded LEN to Underperform and cut tgt to $86 from $97 saying that in a challenging, K-shaped housing market, homebuilders levered to the entry-level consumer face earnings risk, while those exposed to the affluent, move-up, and active adult segments are better positioned to defend margins.
- In Aero/Space sector: ASTS announced that the launch of the BlueBird 8, 9, and 10 satellites is currently scheduled for Wednesday, June 17, 2026, from Cape Canaveral, Florida, aboard a Falcon 9 Rocket. Liftoff is targeted for 2:39 A.M. EDT with additional opportunities available until 4:15 A.M. RDW filed to sell up to $500M shares of common stock in offering. BA said that it delivered 60 jets in May, a 33% increase over the same period last year, though fewer than the 81 delivered by European rival Airbus. Boeing’s May deliveries included 51 737 MAX jets, the highest number of its popular single-aisle model in one month since 12’24.
- Metals & Mining: CLF was upgraded to Hold from Sell and raise PT to $15 at GLJ Research as U.S. hot rolled coil has continued to grind higher as an unusually tight physical market colliding with a structural import wall has proven "both more durable and more price-supportive than we modeled.
- In Shipping: The Baltic Exchange’s dry Bulk Freight index, which tracks rates for ships carrying dry Bulk commodities, fell as the Baltic index fell 98 points, or 3.4%, to 2,818 as the Capesize index was down 278 points, or 5.9%, at 4,441, the panamax index fell 13 points, or 0.6%, to 2,205 and Supramax was up 18 points, or 1.1%, at 1,614. Iron Ore futures fell for the Fifth straight session.
Technology
- In Ai: Claude Fable 5, Anthropic’s latest Frontier model, is available today in Microsoft Foundry, powering agents in GitHub Copilot and Foundry Agent Service. Claude Fable 5 makes Mythos-level capabilities available to all customers, with strong safeguards designed to make it safe for general use. OpenAI on Monday said it filed confidential paperwork for an initial public offering (IPO), setting up one of the most anticipated market debuts in years. The company said it hasn’t decided on timing yet, and that it may take a while "because there are things we want to do that are likely easier as a private company."
- AI Data Center/Infrastructure sector: APLD announced a 210MW lease at Delta Forge-2 with the same U.S.-based, high IG hyperscaler as DF-1 & PF-3; APLD still has ~1.4GW in the ’28 & ’29 pipeline. The deal has 15-year duration, ~$5.2B TCV, which equates to ~$1.65M/MW annually. NBIS announced the Physical AI Living Lab, a six-month program that equips British and European robotics startups with NVIDIA’s physical AI development tools and Nebius’ AI cloud infrastructure.
- Optical stocks saw weakness (AAOI, CIEN, LITE, COHR) after SemiAnalysis sent a report to its institutional clients making a negative call on the CPO (co-packaged optics) rollout. However, this afternoon Tae Kim on X noted NVDA executive is bullish on CPO rollout, seemingly refuting SemiAnalysis narrative. Tae Kim noted on Substack that he interviewed an Nvidia networking executive at Computex who seemingly refutes the SemiAnalysis narrative and basically said the opposite on CPO.
- EDA Sector: CDNS announced a multi-year Design Technology Co- Optimization (DTCO) collaboration with Intel Foundry targeting Intel 14A, deepening an already-significant relationship and reinforcing CDNS’ positioning at leading-edge process nodes.
- Software movers: SAIL shares tumbled after slight beat for Q1 with EPS $0.05/$280.1M revs (as sub revs +23% to $266M) vs. est. $0.04 and $275.8M, while guides Q2 rev growth 17%-18% inline with ests $309.7M; while Q1 operating loss shrank to -$80M from -$185M y/y, it was still wider than the -$40M loss in Q4; raised year rev view to $1.265B-$1.275B from prior $1.26B-$1.27B.
- Semiconductor: After a strong bounce back on Monday following Friday’s mass selling pressure in semis (SOX), today was back lower and took out the Friday lows in a broad sell off in tech and big winners of 2026 with AMD, ARM, SMCI, NVDA, WDC, INTC and many others all tumbling.
- Telecom Equipment: shares of NOK and ERIC declined after news NVDA is developing a chip for the radio unit in 6G Mobile networks. A Dagens Industri article cites an ABG Sundal Collier report saying the U.S. chip maker is developing a chip for the radio unit in 6G mobile networks, something that in the long run could be negative for the two telecom equipment companies
Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.